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• VC2M8P03

  conduct repeated chance experiments and simulations, using digital tools to determine probabilities for compound events, and describe results

  Elaborations

  • using digital tools to conduct probability simulations involving compound events
  • using a random number generator and digital tools to simulate rolling 2 dice and calculating the difference between them, investigating what difference is likely to occur more often
  • using online simulation software to conduct probability simulations to determine in the long run if events are complementary

  VC2M8P03 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 8 | Probability

• VC2M8P02

  determine all possible outcome combinations for 2 events, using two-way tables, tree diagrams and Venn diagrams, and use these to determine probabilities of specific events in practical situations

  Elaborations

  • describing events using language of ‘at least’, exclusive ‘or’ (A or B but not both), inclusive ‘or’ (A or B or both) and ‘and’
  • using the relation Pr(A and B) + Pr(A and not B) + Pr(not A and B) + Pr(not A and not B) = 1 to calculate probabilities, including the special case of mutually exclusive events where Pr(A and B) = 0
  • using Venn diagrams or two-way tables to demonstrate the difference between events that are mutually exclusive, such as whether a coin toss will land on a head or a tail, and those that are not mutually exclusive, such as people who have blonde hair and people who have blue eyes
  • exploring Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander children’s instructive games, for example, Battendi from the Ngarrindjeri Peoples of Lake Murray and Lake Albert in southern Australia, applying possible combinations and relationships and calculating probabilities using two-way tables and Venn diagrams

  VC2M8P02 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 8 | Probability

• VC2M10P02

  describe the results of two- and three-step chance experiments, both with and without replacements, assign probabilities to outcomes and determine probabilities of events; investigate the concept of independence

  Elaborations

  • recognising that a subsequent event can be dependent, and that this will affect the way its probability is calculated, for example, cards chosen from a standard deck without replacement, conditional selection problems from a fixed sample size, or the Bertrand’s box paradox

  VC2M10P02 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 10 | Probability

• VC2M7P01

  identify the sample space for single-stage experiments; assign probabilities to the possible outcomes and predict relative frequencies for related experiments.

  Elaborations

  • discussing the meaning of probability terminology, for example, ‘probability’, ‘sample space’, ‘favourable outcome’, ‘trial’, ‘experiment’ and ‘event’
  • listing sample spaces for games involving throwing a coin or a dice, spinners, or lucky dip
  • assigning the probability for throwing a 6 on a dice and using this to predict the number of times a 6 will occur when a dice is thrown multiple times

  VC2M7P01 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 7 | Probability

• VC2M9P02

  calculate relative frequencies from given or collected data to estimate probabilities of events involving ‘and’, inclusive ‘or’ and exclusive ‘or’

  Elaborations

  • understanding that relative frequencies from large data sets or long-run experiments can provide reliable measures of probability and can be used to make predictions of decisions 
  • using Venn diagrams or two-way tables to estimate frequencies of events involving ‘and’ and ‘or’ questions

  VC2M9P02 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 9 | Probability

• VC2M3P01

  identify practical activities and everyday events that involve chance, and describe possible outcomes and events as ‘likely’ or ‘unlikely’ and identify some events as ‘certain’ or ‘impossible’, explaining reasoning

  Elaborations

  • predicting what could happen next in practical activities that involve an element of chance, considering possible outcomes and using terms such as ‘likely’ or ‘unlikely’ to explain their predictions
  • classifying a list of everyday events or sorting a set of event cards according to how likely they are to happen, using the language of chance and giving reasons for classifications; and discussing how impossible outcomes cannot ever happen, and uncertain outcomes are affected by chance as they may or may not happen, whereas certain events must always happen so they are not affected by chance
  • making predictions and testing what would happen, for example, if 10 names were put in a box and names were then drawn out one at a time and replaced after each selection, discussing how likely it would be after 10 selections that all 10 names were drawn from the box or that one name was drawn multiple times

  VC2M3P01 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 3 | Probability

• VC2M6P02

  conduct repeated chance experiments and run simulations with an increasing number of trials using digital tools; compare observations with expected results and discuss the effect on variation of increasing the number of trials

  Elaborations

  • using digital tools to simulate multiple tosses of a coin or dice and comparing the relative frequency of an outcome as the number of trials increases; and identifying the variation between trials and realising that the results tend to the prediction with larger numbers of trials
  • using online simulations of repeated random events to recognise emerging patterns, discussing and comparing expected results to the actual results
  • investigating the relative frequencies of all outcomes for a chance experiment and verifying that their sum equals one
  • systematically recording the outcome of large numbers of spins on a spinner and analysing the relative frequencies of outcomes, representing these as percentages

  VC2M6P02 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 6 | Probability

• VC2M4P02

  conduct repeated chance experiments to observe relationships between outcomes in games and other chance situations, and identify and describe the variation in results

  Elaborations

  • playing games such as noughts-and-crosses or First to 20 and deciding if it makes a difference who goes first and whether you can use a particular strategy to increase your chances of winning
  • recording and ordering the outcomes of experiments using different physical or virtual random generators such as coins, dice and a variety of spinners
  • experimenting with tossing 2 coins at the same time, recording and commenting on the chance of outcomes after a number of tosses
  • shuffling a set of cards, drawing a card at random, and recording whether it was a spade, club, diamond or heart, or a picture card or numbered card; and repeating the experiment a number of times and discussing the results

  VC2M4P02 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 4 | Probability

• VC2M5P01

  list the possible outcomes of chance experiments involving equally likely outcomes and compare to those that are not equally likely

  Elaborations

  • discussing what it means for outcomes to be equally likely and comparing the number of possible and equally likely outcomes of chance events; for example, when drawing a card from a standard deck of cards there are 4 possible outcomes if you are interested in the suit, 2 possible outcomes if you are interested in the colour or 52 outcomes if you are interested in the exact card
  • discussing how chance experiments that have equally likely outcomes can be referred to as random chance events; for example, if all the names of students in a class are placed in a hat and one is drawn at random, each person has an equally likely chance of being drawn
  • commenting on the chance of winning games by considering the number of possible outcomes and the consequent chance of winning
  • investigating why some games are fair and others are not; for example, drawing a track game to resemble a running race and taking it in turns to roll 2 dice, where the first runner moves a square if the difference between the 2 dice is zero, one or 2 and the second runner moves a square if the difference is 3, 4 or 5, and responding to the questions ‘Is this game fair?’, ‘Are some differences more likely to come up than others?’ and ‘How can you work that out?’
  • comparing the chance of a head or a tail when a coin is tossed, whether some numbers on a dice are more likely to be facing up when the dice is rolled, or the chance of getting a 1, 2 or 3 on a spinner with uneven regions for the numbers
  • discussing supermarket promotions such as collecting stickers or objects and whether there is an equal chance of getting each of them

  VC2M5P01 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 5 | Probability

• VC2M3P02

  conduct repeated chance experiments; identify and describe possible outcomes, record the results, and recognise and discuss the variation

  Elaborations

  • identifying the possible outcomes of a chance experiment, creating a tally chart to record results, carrying out a few trials and tallying the results for each trial, and then responding to the questions ‘How did your results vary for each trial?’ and ‘How do the results vary across the class?’
  • conducting repeated trials of chance experiments such as tossing a coin, throwing a dice, drawing a coloured or numbered ball from a bag, or using a coloured spinner with equal partitions, and identifying the variation in the number of heads/fives/reds between trials

  VC2M3P02 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 3 | Probability

• VC2M4P01

  describe possible everyday events and the possible outcomes of chance experiments and order outcomes or events based on their likelihood of occurring; identify independent or dependent events

  Elaborations

  • using lists of events familiar to students and ordering them from ‘least likely’ to ‘most likely’ to occur; and considering and discussing why the order of some events might be different for different students
  • predicting the outcome of a coin toss after 5 heads have been tossed in a row, discussing the assertion that because so many heads came up, it is more likely that a tail rather than a head will come up next; and discussing with reasons why this assertion is correct or incorrect
  • predicting how likely it is – from least likely to most likely – that they would select a red ball from a bag containing 10 red balls and 5 white balls, from a bag containing 20 of each, or from a bag that has 25 red balls and 20 white balls, justifying their decision
  • identifying school activities where the chance of them taking place is affected by the chance of other events occurring; for example, given that there is a high chance of a storm on Friday, there is only a small chance that the coastal dune planting project will go ahead
  • listing the outcomes of everyday chance situations and identifying where one cannot happen if the other happens; for example, discussing that it cannot be hot and cold at the same time, or selecting a card from a deck and discussing if it is red it cannot be a spade or a club
  • identifying different dependent events where the chance of one outcome occurring will be affected by the occurrence of other outcomes and different independent events where the chance of one outcome occurring will not be affected by the occurrence of other outcome(s)

  VC2M4P01 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 4 | Probability

• VC2M9P01

  list all outcomes for two-step chance experiments both with and without replacement, using lists, tree diagrams, tables or arrays; assign probabilities to outcomes and events

  Elaborations

  • discussing two-step chance experiments, such as the game of heads and tails, describing the different outcomes and their related probabilities 
  • using systematic methods such as lists or arrays to record outcomes and assign probabilities, such as drawing the names of students from a bag to appoint 2 team leaders
  • using a tree diagram to represent a three-stage event and assigning probabilities to these events; for example, selecting 3 cards from a deck, assigning the probability of drawing an ace, then a king, then a queen of the same suit, with and without replacing the cards after every draw
  • assigning probabilities to compound events involving the random selection of people from a given population; for example, selecting 2 names at random from all of the students at a high school and assigning the probability that they are both in Year 9

  VC2M9P01 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 9 | Probability

• VC2M8P01

  recognise that complementary events have a combined probability of one; use this relationship to calculate probabilities in applied contexts

  Elaborations

  • understanding that knowing the probability of an event allows the probability of its complement to be found, including for those events that are not equally likely, such as getting a specific novelty toy in a supermarket promotion
  • using the relationship that for a single event A, Pr(A) + Pr(not A) = 1; for example, if the probability that it rains on a particular day is 80%, the probability that it does not rain on that day is 20%, or the probability of not getting a 6 on a single roll of a fair dice is 1-16=56
  • using the sum of probabilities to solve problems, such as the probability of starting a game by throwing a 5 or 6 on a dice is 13 and probability of not throwing a 5 or 6 is 23

  VC2M8P01 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 8 | Probability

• VC2M9P03

  design and conduct repeated chance experiments and simulations using digital tools to estimate probabilities that cannot be determined exactly

  Elaborations

  • using digital tools to conduct probability simulations that demonstrate the relationship between the probability of compound events and the individual probabilities
  • comparing experiments that differ only by being undertaken with replacement or without replacement
  • conducting two-step chance experiments using systematic methods to list outcomes of experiments and to list outcomes favourable to an event
  • using repeated trials of Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander children’s instructive games, for example, Gorri from all parts of Australia, to calculate the probabilities of winning and not winning 

  VC2M9P03 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 9 | Probability

• VC2M5P02

  conduct repeated chance experiments, including those with and without equally likely outcomes, and observe and record the results; use frequency to compare outcomes and estimate their likelihoods

  Elaborations

  • discussing and listing all the possible outcomes of an activity and conducting experiments to estimate the probabilities (for example, using coloured cards in a card game and experimenting with shuffling the deck and turning over one card at a time) and recording and discussing the results
  • conducting experiments, recording the outcomes and the number of times the outcomes occur, and describing the relative frequency of each outcome; for example, using ‘I threw the coin 10 times, and the results were 3 times for a head, so that is 3 out of 10, and 7 times for a tail, so that is 7 out of 10’
  • experimenting with and comparing the outcomes of spinners with equal coloured regions compared to unequal coloured regions; and responding to questions such as ‘How does this spinner differ to one where each of the colours has an equal chance of occurring?’, giving reasons
  • comparing the results of experiments using a fair dice and one that has numbers represented on faces more than once, explaining how this affects the likelihood of outcomes
  • using spreadsheets to record the outcomes of an activity and calculate the total frequencies of different outcomes, representing these as a fraction; for example, using coloured balls in a bag, drawing one out at a time and recording the colour, and replacing them in the bag after each draw
  • investigating Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander children’s instructive games (for example, Diyari koolchee from the Diyari Peoples near Lake Eyre in South Australia), to conduct repeated trials and explore predictable patterns, using digital tools where appropriate

  VC2M5P02 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 5 | Probability

• VC2M6P01

  describe probabilities using fractions, decimals and percentages; recognise that probabilities lie on numerical scales of 0–‍1 or 0%–100%; use estimation to assign probabilities that events occur in a given context, using common fractions, percentages and decimals

  Elaborations

  • recognising that the probability of an event occurring can be represented numerically as either a number ranging from zero to one or a percentage from 0% to 100% where zero or 0% means it will not happen and one or 100% means it is certain to happen
  • using a scale of zero to one or 0% to 100% to estimate chances of events
  • listing the different possible outcomes for rolling a dice and using a scale to locate the relative probability by considering the chance of more than or less than for each possible event, for example, the probability of getting a number greater than 4
  • recognising the language used to describe situations involving uncertainty, such as what it means to be ‘lucky’, a ‘75% chance’ of rain or a ‘1-in-100 years’ flood
  • exploring Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander children’s instructive games, such as Weme from the Warlpiri Peoples of Central Australia, to investigate and assign probabilities that events will occur, indicating their estimated likelihood

  VC2M6P01 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 6 | Probability

• VC2M10P01

  use the language of ‘if … then …’, ‘given’, ‘of’ and ‘knowing that’ to investigate conditional statements and identify common mistakes in interpreting such language, and describe and interpret situations involving conditional probability; design and conduct simulations using digital tools to model...

  Elaborations

  • using two-way tables and Venn diagrams to understand conditional statements using the language of ‘if … then …’, ‘given’, ‘of’ and ‘knowing that’ and identifying common mistakes in interpreting such language
  • using arrays and tree diagrams to represent, interpret and compare probabilities of dependent and independent events 
  • using samples of different sizes with and without replacement from a population to identify when the difference in methods becomes negligible
  • using simulations to gather data on frequencies for situations involving chance that appear to be counterintuitive, such as the three-door problem or the birthday problem
  • identifying situations in real life where probability simulations are used for decision-making, such as supply and demand of product, insurance risk and queueing 
  • using simulation to predict the number of people likely to be infected with a strain of flu or virus

  VC2M10P01 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 10 | Probability

• VC2M7P02

  conduct repeated chance experiments and run simulations with a large number of trials using digital tools; compare predicted with observed results, explaining the differences and the effect of sample size on the outcomes 

  Elaborations

  • developing an understanding of the law of large numbers through using experiments and simulations to conduct large numbers of trials for seemingly random events and discussing findings
  • conducting simulations using online simulation tools and comparing the combined results of a large number of trials to predicted results
  • exploring and observing Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander children’s instructive games – for example, Koara from the Jawi and Bardi Peoples of Sunday Island in Western Australia – to investigate probability, predicting outcomes for an event and comparing with increasingly larger numbers of trials, and comparing observed and expected results

  VC2M7P02 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 7 | Probability

• VCMSP049

  Identify data relevant to a given context

  Elaborations

  • assisting to collect information to answer a question, for example, what colours are the counters in the box
  • following simple instructions to sort objects for a data display

  VCMSP049 | Mathematics | Level C | Statistics and Probability | Data representation and interpretation

• VC2M2SP01

  recognise, compare and classify shapes, referencing the number of sides and using spatial terms such as ‘opposite’, ‘parallel’, ‘curved’ and ‘straight’

  Elaborations

  • sorting a collection of shapes in different ways based on their features, such as number of sides, whether all sides are equal and whether pairs of opposite sides are parallel; for example, sorting collections of triangles and other polygons
  • manipulating shapes and recognising that different orientations do not change the shape; for example, cutting out pictures of various shapes and recognising that they are still classified as the same shape even if they are upside down or on their side
  • investigating the shapes of different sporting fields, describing and labelling their features, including sidelines, centre circles and goal squares; for example, labelling the lines on a basketball court and using spatial terms to describe them
  • creating regular shapes using digital tools, describing and observing what happens when you manipulate them; for example, dragging or pushing vertices to produce irregular shapes, or moving or rotating a shape

  VC2M2SP01 | Mathematics | Mathematics Version 2.0 | Level 2 | Space