VC2M3P01
identify practical activities and everyday events that involve chance, and describe possible outcomes and events as ‘likely’ or ‘unlikely’ and identify some events as ‘certain’ or ‘impossible’, explaining reasoning
Elaborations

predicting what could happen next in practical activities that involve an element of chance, considering possible outcomes and using terms such as ‘likely’ or ‘unlikely’ to explain their predictions

classifying a list of everyday events or sorting a set of event cards according to how likely they are to happen, using the language of chance and giving reasons for classifications; and discussing how impossible outcomes cannot ever happen, and uncertain outcomes are affected by chance as they may or may not happen, whereas certain events must always happen so they are not affected by chance

making predictions and testing what would happen, for example, if 10 names were put in a box and names were then drawn out one at a time and replaced after each selection, discussing how likely it would be after 10 selections that all 10 names were drawn from the box or that one name was drawn multiple times
VC2M3P01  Mathematics  Mathematics Version 2.0  Level 3  Probability